Agenda

This year’s theme is ‘Scaling up and integration in disaster risk management systems’ and you can read the full concept note for the event in English and in Spanish. The agenda includes a mix of keynote talks, Ignite sessions, and interactive discussions during which all participants can share their views and experiences.

The agenda includes a combination of panels, innovative parallel sessions and interactive discussions for the exchange of ideas and experiences. Please note that only the sessions scheduled for the mornings of both days will be streamed on this website. 

You can browse the full agenda for each day below.

During the morning sessions, translation from Spanish to English and English to Spanish will be provided.
disruptor
08:30 - 09:00
Guatemala Time
Plenary

Opening

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Welcoming Remarks:
  • Annabella Folgar, President of the Guatemalan Red Cross
  • Kara Siahaan, Director of the Anticipation Hub
  • Angelika Herb, Head of the Americas Unit, German Red Cross
  • Ricardo Rapallo, Representative of the FAO office in Guatemala
  • Andreia Fausto, Head of Programs WFP in Guatemala
  • Thomas Wülfing, Minister Counselor of the German Embassy in Guatemala
  • Liesbeth Schockaert, Technical Assistant for Central America and Mexico, ECHO
09:00 - 09:30
Guatemala Time
Plenary

Highlights of Anticipatory Action

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Conversation with focal points from the event's partners: News of anticipatory action in the region
09:30 - 10:00
Guatemala Time
Plenary

Speed dating

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Interactive session for networking
10:00 - 10:30
Guatemala Time

Coffee break

10:30 - 10:45
Guatemala Time
Plenary

Keynote speech

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Keynote speech by Wendy Estrada, Field Monitor, WFP
This speech will present how anticipatory actions can help reduce drought risks for beneficiary families. The speaker will explain how the topic of anticipatory actions has even changed her mentality in the face of disasters.
10:45 - 11:15
Guatemala Time
Plenary

Ignite Sessions

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1. Animal health: Opportunities for Anticipatory Action in Latin America and the Caribbean in 2022
This session will present the main animal health threats in Latin America and the Caribbean for 2022 and their interconnection with other natural hazards with the potential to become disasters, such as hurricanes and droughts. Following this, opportunities will be explored to implement anticipatory actions based on animal health monitoring systems and climate indicators and to include the data generated by these monitoring systems in discussion spaces for the issuance of warnings, such as agro-climatic technical roundtables and other relevant coordination spaces. Furthermore, animal health actions that can be carried out as part of the anticipatory action pack to save lives and mitigate the impact of imminent shocks will also be addressed.
Presented by Andrés González, FAO RLC, Regional Livestock Officer

2. Coordinated Action Mechanisms
Coordination is essential for the implementation of Anticipatory Actions. This session will explore different coordination mechanisms for the effective implementation of Anticipatory Action in the context of the Central American Dry Corridor - from coordination with scientific and meteorological institutions, to agroclimatic roundtables, and coordination among organizations.
Presented by Bernardo Diaz, WFP

3. Use of the Global Flood Awareness System (GloFAS), as a flood anticipation tool
The session will show the use of the Global Flood Awareness System (GloFAS) as a tool for flood forecasting and how this tool can be presented to hydrometeorological services for anticipated decision-making.
Presented by Juan Bazo, Climate Centre Advisor

4. Can anticipatory action contribute to gender equity?
This session will present findings from a gender and resilience gap study conducted in indigenous communities affected by droughts and fires in Bolivia and its implications for anticipatory action. Specifically, it will address keys for its design and implementation so as not to leave women behind based on evidence from the field.
Presented by Rosse Noda, FAO Bolivia, Program Assistant Representative

5. Anticipatory Action and agricultural cycle: Roadmap for Venezuela
This session will share the relevance of using the agricultural calendar to promote anticipatory actions to protect rural livelihoods and food security in the face of drought and floods. Based on a concrete experience, the main steps to follow will be illustrated, such as identifying the main crops for the country's food system and, for each of them and their critical moments, establishing thresholds and triggers in order to promote anticipatory planting and harvesting actions that protect the agricultural livelihoods of small producers. This will also contribute to guaranteeing food availability and food security. The importance of connecting climate and early warning institutions with small producers will also be emphasized.
Presented by: Ciro Marcano, FAO

6. The Pacific Disaster Center - Saving Lives via Innovation
Pacific Disaster Center (PDC) is an applied research center managed by the University of Hawaii that supports the most demanding governmental and nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) worldwide in helping to create a safer, more disaster resilient world. For more than 25 years, we’ve helped our partners enhance disaster management capacity, save lives, and reduce disaster losses through the application of our advanced tools and technologies, evidence-based research, and analytical information.
The Center’s DisasterAWARE platform is used by tens of thousands of disaster management professionals—from the senior-level decision maker to the operational practitioner. It provides global multi-hazard early warning, hazard monitoring, and risk intelligence to support rapid and effective disaster response, preparedness, recovery, and mitigation. DisasterAWARE includes the highest resolution all-hazards impact models, advanced analytical reports, and augmented information through artificial intelligence. The system features the largest, scientifically-vetted big data catalog for disaster management decision making in the world—derived in part from PDC’s unique National Disaster Preparedness Baseline Assessment as well as its Global Risk and Vulnerability data.
Presented by Joel Myhre, Senior Disaster Services Specialist, Pacific Disaster Center
11.15 - 12:00
Guatemala Time
Panel

Panel on Good Practices for Anticipatory Action against Drought 2021: Livelihoods Approach

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Droughts generate progressive and high-impact development crises in several regions of the continent. The impacts of this threat take the form of rapid loss of crops, livestock and other associated livelihoods, increased food insecurity and limited access to safe water. The characteristics of drought open up an interesting field of opportunity for the implementation of anticipatory actions, but it also poses a challenge in terms of the technical and methodological aspects that support anticipatory action.

The panel will open a space for debate on good practices and lessons learned to deploy early actions in the face of the threat of droughts based on 4 experiences implemented by various organizations in the continent. From the exchange and debate of ideas, the aim is to reach common ground on the key elements to achieve a relevant impact in the early mitigation of the worst effects of droughts.

Facilitated by Mauricio Santos, Delegate of the German Red Cross.

Panelists include: 
  • Edgar Mayeregger, National Coordinator of the Ministry of Agriculture of Paraguay 
  • Clarixa Briceño, Focal Point for Emergencies and Resilience of FAO Honduras 
  • Marcio Baca, Director General of Meteorology of INETER 
  • Rodney Martínez Güingla, WMO Representative for North, Central America and the Caribbean
12:00 - 13:00
Guatemala Time
in person only
13:00 - 17:00
Guatemala Time
in person only
Simulation

Interagency Simulation on Anticipatory Action against Extreme Droughts

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Interagency simulation on Anticipatory Action against extreme droughts: A participatory exercise in which the implementation and coordination of anticipatory actions will be simulated according to the activation of plans and protocols of the different organizations and agencies that operate in the region; to measure the capacity of feasible synergies and the articulation between actors, with special emphasis on the integration of Civil Protection of each of the countries that activated their respective plan or protocol.
17:00 - 18:30
Guatemala Time
in person only
Feedback session

Challenges and next steps

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A space in which impressions on the Simulation exercise will be shared, facilitated by Gustavo Hernández, from the Reference Center for Disaster Preparedness (CREPD).
18:30 - 20:30
Guatemala Time
in person only

Welcome Cocktail/ Anticipation Dance

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Get ready to connect and practice the steps of the Anticipation Dance!
08:30 - 08:45
Guatemala Time
Plenary

Opening

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Highlights from the previous day
08:45 - 09:15
Guatemala Time
Plenary

Creative session

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Facilitated by Pablo Suárez, Innovation Lead, Climate Center
09:15 - 10:10
Guatemala Time
Panel

Panel on Anticipatory Action in Disaster Risk Management Systems: Challenges and Opportunities

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The Risk Management Systems in the countries are demanded to act in a timely manner in the search to reduce the impacts of an event, in this context the session seeks through questioning those who have this responsibility or have exercised in similar positions what are the main challenges when implementing an anticipatory action, what challenges have been identified in practice and examples of how these have been overcome or lessons learned in the processes implemented.
The session will seek to reflect and get recommendations for a better implementation, rapprochement with the institutional framework and inclusion of Anticipatory Action in the governing and responsible entities.

Facilitated by Shelley Cheatham, Head of Office, OCHA's Regional Office for Latin America and the Caribbean.

As panelists:
  • Eduardo Vélez, Advisor of the Coordination Center for Disaster Prevention in Central America and the Dominican Republic (CEPREDENAC)
  • Carlos Iván Márquez, Member of the Board of Directors, Norte Santander Section, Colombian Red Cross
  • Raquel Peña, Emergency and Risk Management Specialist, FAO
  • Edy Ruíz, Director of Logistics of the National Coordinator for Disaster Reduction (CONRED)

10:10 - 10:35
Guatemala Time

Coffee break

10:35 - 11:00
Guatemala Time
Plenary

Ignite Sessions

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1. Strengthening strategic links between Hydrometeorological Services and the Red Cross for disaster risk reduction in Argentina
This session will emphasize the importance of strategic collaborations between National Hydrometeorological Services and the humanitarian sector based on the articulation between the National Meteorological Service, the National Water Institute and the Argentinian Red Cross, it will be highlighted why it is necessary to strengthen intersectoral and interdisciplinary alliances between organizations governmental and non-governmental for disaster risk reduction. The session focuses on the joint design of a methodology for registering and systematizing information on socio-environmental damage and impacts associated with significant meteorological events, within the framework of the implementation of Impact-based Forecasting (IBF) in coordination with the Forecast-based Financing (FBF) in Argentina. The speakers will talk about the shared journey to disseminate with other countries in the region, encourage the replication of this type of collaboration and learn from other similar experiences.
Presented by: Matias Menalled, Scientific Application Specialist focused in Disaster Risk Management, National Meteorological Service (SMN) Argentina

2.FbF and Health
Technological advances in scientific modelling and forecasting systems are making it possible to better predict who, how, when and where people may be affected by disease outbreaks and epidemics. These advances are providing greater opportunities to develop, implement and scale up anticipatory action approaches to health, such as anticipating cholera epidemics and dengue outbreaks. In this session we will give a quick overview of FbF in Health initiatives and how they are developing around the world.
Presented by: Juan Bazo, Climate Centre Advisor

3. Bioindicators: Another way to think about triggers
In rural areas, people maintain a very close relationship with nature. From this interaction, they have identified some signals provided by nature to announce changes or phenomena. For example, changes in the behavior of animals, appearances of certain mosses and even astral phenomena. In this Ignite we will listen to a local voice that will explain what role they are playing in their community to anticipate disasters.

4. Is forecast-based financing for hurricanes feasible in the Caribbean?
In principle, a forecast-based financing (FbF) mechanism could support critical actions to reduce impacts and speed recovery from hurricanes in the Eastern Caribbean. However, such a mechanism is limited by current forecast tools, which cannot pinpoint the location of landfall of a tropical cyclone to any one OECS island until about 36 to 24 hours before impact, on average. Given that at least 48 hours’ notice is required to finance and implement effective local actions, FbF interventions cannot be focused on one particular island where the eye is forecast to hit. An FbF mechanism should therefore:
• Support low-regret actions across a fairly large region, to account for uncertainty about the location of impact.
• Build on existing coordination efforts among diverse regional stakeholders, notably the Regional Response Mechanism (RRM) of the Caribbean Disaster Emergency Management Agency (CDEMA).
• Account for gender inequalities and ensure assistance reaches women and benefits vulnerable households.
This presentation will describe two potential components of a regional hurricane FbF mechanism:
     1. A 48-hour trigger and activation of: (a) cash transfers to vulnerable individuals to stock up on supplies through participating local businesses and shops; (b) rapid stocking of community shelters; and/or (c) contracts to pre-position heavy machinery for post-event debris clearance
     2. A 7-day trigger and support to national governments to undertake critical disaster risk reduction activities (such as river dredging) that have not been completed when a hurricane is expected to affect the Eastern Caribbean within the next 7 days.
The French Development Agency (AFD), in partnership with the OECS Commission, is funding a Feasibility Study to examine the potential for establishing a Regional forecast-based financing (FbF) mechanism for hurricanes in the Eastern Caribbean.
Presented by: Dr. Emily Wilkinson, Senior Research Fellow at ODI, Director of Resilient and Sustainable Islands (RESI), Chief Scientific Adviser of CREAD-Dominica

5. Institutionalizing Anticipatory Action
presented by Jorge Artega, Manager of Essential Areas, Ecuadorian Red Cross
11:00 - 11:10
Guatemala Time

Break to change rooms

11:10 - 12:10
Guatemala Time
Parallel Sessions

In person only: Anticipatory actions to counter food crises

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In the last four years, the number of people affected by food crises has increased due to various factors such as the COVID-19 pandemic, severe weather events, financial volatility and conflicts. Anticipatory Action can contribute to the prevention and mitigation of such crises. In this parallel session, presenters will explain methodologies for identifying triggers to trigger anticipatory action through non-climate indicators (such as the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification, IPC), as well as examples of stipends as anticipatory action, and the role of the private sector in financing and supporting the implementation of anticipatory action.

Facilitated by:  Krishna Krishnamurthy, Advisor for Climate Services and Anticipatory Action, WFP

Presenters:

  • Jerry Arguello, FAO, IPC Regional coordinator
  • Marlon Paiz, WFP Guatemala, Head of Sub-office of Oriente
  • Edgar René de León Moreno, Vice-Ministry of Rural Economic Development, Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock and Food, Guatemala.

Hybrid: Anticipatory Action against Tropical Storms in the Caribbean and Central America

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Tropical storms, due to their development, have a relatively short lead time, a moment that is used for specific mitigation actions. It is possible to make an anticipatory action that may allow greater possibilities for the population, taking into account the risks inherent to a situation and the advantages and conditions for an effective implementation. 

In an open exchange among actors who have had recent experience in responding to emergencies caused by tropical storms, we will share lessons learned and suggestions for possible actions to reduce the impact on the population. The use of technologies for anticipation and the importance of acting on the basis of possibilities will also be discussed.

Facilitated by: Dario Álvarez, Regional Disaster Response Advisor from the Regional Office for Latin America and the Caribbean of the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA)

Presenters:
  • Marcio Baca Salazar (INETER)
  • Graciela Pérez (PMA, República Dominicana)
  • Liesbeth Schockaert (ECHO)
  • Josee Poirier (OCHA)

In person only: Impact-Based Forecasting: A key tool for scaling up Anticipatory Action in governments

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The session will explain how impact-based forecasting can be an effective tool for scaling up anticipatory action in regional or national governments. It will present some examples of initiatives in the region, present the design of an impact-based forecasting course for pilot implementation at country level and end with a reflective dynamic using a forecasting game for decision-making based on probabilities.

Facilitated by:  Juan Bazo, Climate Centre Advisor
12:10 - 12:20
Guatemala Time
Plenary

Online Closing

12:20 - 13:00
Guatemala Time
in person only
13:00 - 14:00
Guatemala Time
in person only
Creative session

Anticipatory Action Initiatives' Fair

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Fair about Anticipatory Action Initiatives presented by diferents actors and partners. 
14:00 - 15:00
Guatemala Time
in person only
Work Sessions/ Parallel Sessions

Anticipatory Action with Indigenous Communities: opportunities, challenges and common minimums

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This session will share good practices and lessons learned from experiences on emergency preparedness and response and anticipatory action with indigenous communities. This includes the application of Free Prior and Informed Consent, an essential process to ensure compliance with the rights of indigenous peoples. A space for reflection will be generated on opportunities and challenges to ensure the inclusion of indigenous peoples in anticipatory action (monitoring, warning, action, financing and coordination) and to link the institutional framework of these peoples with that of anticipatory action and DRM. As a final product, common minimums and recommendations will be identified to promote and implement inclusive, relevant and responsive anticipatory actions to the needs of indigenous communities.

Facilitated by:
  • Rosse Noda, Assistant Programme Representative, FAO Bolivia
  • María C. Vergara, Senior Risk Management and Livelihoods Rehabilitation Specialist, FAO Colombia 
  • Ligia Calderon, Senior Programme Specialist, FAO Nicaragua
  • Marion Khamis, Risk and Resilience Management Specialist, FAO LAC Regional Office

Monetary Transfers as Anticipatory Actions: Myths, Opportunities and Synergies with Protection Systems

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The session aims to :
- clarify some of the main myths that are presented in terms of cash transfers in Anticipatory Actions
- present opportunities to work collectively with communities on the basis of the tool
- present opportunities for using existing social protection systems in countries
The first part of the session will consist of a “marketplace” type event where presenters will present relevant examples on a slide. The audience will be able to learn from the different examples from the region and after 30 minutes they will have the opportunity to ask the presenters questions.

The session will be facilitated by:
  • Krishna Krishnamurthy (WFP)
  • Nadine Grimm (WFP)
  • Jennifer Fernandes (German Red Cross) 
  • Gerardo Machado (German Red Cross). 

Presenters:
  • Jorge Barrientos (WFP)
  • Graciela Pérez (WFP) 
  • Joan Lawson, Costa Rican Red Cross 
  • David Picado, Costa Rican Red Cross 
  • Sabina Ortíz, Ecuadorian Red Cross

Expanding Borders: Anticipatory Action in Complex Crises

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Disaster anticipation approaches have a long history in the Americas region. Their implementation has been mostly linked to hydrometeorological hazards and, to a lesser extent, to geophysical hazards. Today, however, other applications and uses are beginning to be explored and adapted to multi-causal hazards such as complex crises.

These new approaches represent an extension of the frontier of application of the approach, but also an important challenge in terms of methodological and technical adaptations.

This session seeks to deepen in the understanding of these challenges, but also in the opportunities of the approach from the findings of the feasibility study conducted with the Colombian Red Cross.

Facilitated by
Mauricio Santos, International Delegate of the German Red Cross
Mathieu Destrooper, Head of the German Red Cross Regional Office in Central America

Presenters:
  • Dr. Francisco Moreno, Ejecutive Nacional Director of the Colombian Red Cross
  • María Consuelo Vergara, Senior Risk Management Specialist Officer, FAO Colombia
  • Natalia Corro-Barrientos, Program Coordinator, French Red Cross PIRAC
  • Carlos Aldana, Regional Program Officer, German Red Cross - Carlos Rodríguez, Director of Programs, Honduran Red Cross
15:00 - 15:30
Guatemala Time
in person only

Coffee break

15:30 - 16:30
Guatemala Time
in person only

Final reflections

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Towards the future: Next steps, expectations
16:30 - 17:00
Guatemala Time

Assessment of the event

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