Agenda

This year’s theme is ‘From dialogue to action: advancing joint goals towards Africa’s anticipatory action roadmap’ and you can read the concept note for the event in English and in French.  The three days will focus on 3 different sub-themes  as follows:
Day One: Looking back: a stocktake of anticipatory action in Africa
Day Two: Looking ahead: defining the ambitions for anticipatory action in Africa
Day Three: Moving to action: what will it take to get there?

The agenda is packed with a fantastic line-up of speakers and panellists, drawn from communities, the private sector, governments, academia and the humanitarian sector. There are also several interactive sessions where participants can share their ideas, views and feedback.
The plenary sessions will be translated from English into Arabic, French and Portuguese. The parallel sessions will be traslated from English into French and Portuguese.
disruptor
17:45 - 20:30
Nairobi Time

Regional market place West Africa/Sahel

show more add to my calendar
A marketplace for stocktaking and networking across the regions

This is a working session in which participants from the sub regions of East, West, North and Southern Africa will share their plans, ambitions, vision and commitments for the anticipatory action that will feed into the Africa Anticipatory Action RoadMap. This process will involve the following:
  • Mapping of ongoing initiatives & stakeholders in each region
  • Identify gaps impeding scale up of AA in the region
  • Explore solutions/strategies on addressing gaps mentioned b) above
  • Agree on priorities for focus for 2022 and on wards

Facilitators:
Luca Parodi, FAO, Early Warning – Early Action Regional Specialist
Dr. Guigma Kiswendsida, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, FbF Technical Advisor

08:00 - 09:00
Nairobi Time
in person
on location

Registration

09:00 - 10:15
Nairobi Time

Regional marketplace Northern Africa

show more add to my calendar
A marketplace for stocktaking and networking across the regions

This is a working session in which participants from the sub regions of East, West, North and Southern Africa will share their plans, ambitions, vision and commitments for the anticipatory action that will feed into the Africa Anticipatory Action RoadMap. This process will involve the following:
  • Mapping of ongoing initiatives & stakeholders in each region
  • Identify gaps impeding scale up of AA in the region
  • Explore solutions/strategies on addressing gaps mentioned b) above
  • Agree on priorities for focus for 2022 and on wards

Facilitator: Omar Farook, World Food Programme, Specialist, Early Action and Climate Services



Regional marketplace Southern Africa

show more add to my calendar
A marketplace for stocktaking and networking across the regions

This is a working session in which participants from the sub regions of East, West, North and Southern Africa will share their plans, ambitions, vision and commitments for the anticipatory action that will feed into the Africa Anticipatory Action RoadMap. This process will involve the following:
  • Mapping of ongoing initiatives & stakeholders in each region
  • Identify gaps impeding scale up of AA in the region
  • Explore solutions/strategies on addressing gaps mentioned b) above
  • Agree on priorities for focus for 2022 and on wards

Facilitator: Anna Lena Huhn, World Food Programme, Regional Anticipatory Action (AA) Advisor - Resilience Unit

In person only: Regional marketplace East Africa

show more add to my calendar
A marketplace for stocktaking and networking across the regions

This is a working session in which participants from the sub regions of East, West, North and Southern Africa will share their plans, ambitions, vision and commitments for the anticipatory action that will feed into the Africa Anticipatory Action RoadMap. This process will involve the following:
  • Mapping of ongoing initiatives & stakeholders in each region
  • Identify gaps impeding scale up of AA in the region
  • Explore solutions/strategies on addressing gaps mentioned b) above
  • Agree on priorities for focus for 2022 and on wards

Facilitators:
Irene Amuron, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, Manager Anticipatory Action
Maurine Ambani, WFP, Regional Forecast based Financing Coordinator

10:15 - 10:30
Nairobi Time
10:30 - 12:00
Nairobi Time

Regional marketplace (continued) Northern Africa

show more add to my calendar
A marketplace for stocktaking and networking across the regions

Regional marketplace (continued) Southern Africa

show more add to my calendar
A marketplace for stocktaking and networking across the regions

In person only: Regional marketplace (continued) East Africa

show more add to my calendar
A marketplace for stocktaking and networking across the regions
12:00 - 13:00
Nairobi Time
13:00 - 13:40
Nairobi Time
Plenary

Opening ceremony

show more add to my calendar
Introductions to Africa Dialogue Platform 2022 

Opening remarks 
  • Dr Asha Mohammed, Secretary General, Kenya Red Cross
  • Dr. Ferdinand Von Weyhe – Head of Division, Humanitarian Assistance, International Disaster Response, Humanitarian Mine Action, German Federal Foreign Office
  • Amadou Diallo, Disaster Risk Financing Regional Coordinator - Africa, Start Network
  • Michael Charles - Head of Cluster Delegaton, IFRC Pretoria
  • Margaret Malu, Deputy Regional Director, Southern Africa, WFP (JHB)
  • Kara Siahaan, Head of the Anticipation Hub, German Red Cross

13:40 - 14:00
Nairobi Time
Plenary

Keynote address #1 - Looking back: a stocktake of anticipatory action in Africa

show more add to my calendar

Reflections from ECHO:  “What is the significance of the Africa DP to ECHO´s programme? What do you wish to achieve at the Partners Workshop that could contribute to the Africa-wide dialogues on AA?
Sylvie Montembault,
Technical Assistant for Southern Africa and Indian Ocean (DG ECHO)

Keynote:
This keynote will seek to emphasize on the important role of the National and Regional Climate Centers in supporting and facilitating anticipatory humanitarian action based on their mandates. It will further seek to recognize the role of anticipatory humanitarian action in the current and future climate risks including drought that is currently devastating parts of Africa including making a commitment to facilitate moving from dialogue to action.
Dr. Ahmed Amdihun, Regional Programme Coordinator, Disaster Risk Management IGAD - Eastern Africa


14:00 - 14:20
Nairobi Time
Plenary

Interactive activity

show more add to my calendar
Experience risk with a short circus activity in Johannesburg, Nairobi and in the virtual space.
  • Bettina Koelle, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, Senior Learning Specialist
  • Eddie Jjemba, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, Urban Resilience Advisor 
  • Pablo Suarez, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, Associate Director for Research and Innovation

14:20 - 14:50
Nairobi Time
Plenary

Looking back: the journey of the Africa Dialogue Platform

show more add to my calendar
This session will reflect on the progress from the past Africa DPs; we will focus on the evolution of themes, diversity of stakeholders, outputs, what worked well and could be improved. We will further have a conversation on what the journey has been like and the growing interest in AA in Africa over the years. We will reflect on progress towards the implementation of the six commitments from the 4th Africa DP summarized through ‘Our Message to the World’ -
  1. Build capacity in Africa for research and science to support Anticipatory Action
  2. Reach scale by jointly advocating for more/ aligned financing and resources
  3. Work with sustainability in mind
  4. Build a movement for Anticipatory Action.
  5. Invest in honest and sincere coordination at local, regional and global levels
  6. Explore various anticipatory actions beyond cash
The session will also introduce the Anticipation Hub’s Future Leaders Network on Early Warning and Early Action as a means to systematically ensure youth and young professionals/scientists engagement within Dialogue Platforms.


Moderators:
Irene Amuron, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, Manager Anticipatory Action
Phoebe Shikuku, IFRC, Disaster Risk Reduction & Forecast based Financing Advisor

14:50 - 15:00
Nairobi Time
15:00 - 16:00
Nairobi Time
Plenary

Panel discussion #1 - A regional stocktake of progress towards anticipatory action in Africa

show more add to my calendar
This panel session will host representatives from the West Africa, Northern, Eastern and Southern Africa sub regions to speak on progress taken on anticipatory action in Africa by bringing in a geographical perspective. We will analyze the status of implementation, challenges and gaps and how these have been/could be addressed. Lessons from this will inform the focus of the joint Africa AA Roadmap to be drafted by the end of the 3 day event.

Speakers:
  • Luca Parodi, FAO, Early Warning – Early Action Regional Specialist
  • Omar Farook, World Food Programme, Specialist, Early Action and Climate Services
  • Anna Lena Huhn, World Food Programme, Regional Anticipatory Action (AA) Advisor - Resilience Unit
  • Dr. Ahmed Amdihun, Regional Programme Coordinator, Disaster Risk Management IGAD - Eastern Africa

16:00 - 16:15
Nairobi Time
16:15 - 17:15
Nairobi Time
Plenary

Panel discussion #2 - Voices from the field

show more add to my calendar
This is an opportunity to listen to beneficiaries and communities: are people seeing the impacts of anticipatory action at the local level? Do communities see an added value from this approach? Are people empowered to implement anticipatory action themselves?
Building on this feedback, how can we scale up locally led anticipatory action in Africa? What opportunities exist and which barriers still need to be addressed?

Speakers:
  • Hussam Hanafi Hussam, Lead Analyst at Save the Children, Sudan
  • Hassan Haji, Mardo Organisation, Somalia
  • Epifania Huate, technical anticipatory action focal point, INGD Mozambique
  • David Njenga  - Kenya Red Cross Voluntee

Moderators:

  • Nelly Maonde Start Fund Regional Advisor – East and Southern Africa
  • Maurine Ambani, WFP, Eastern Africa FbF Regional Coordinator
  • Nkopo Matsepe, WFP, Senior Programme assistant
17:15 - 17:30
Nairobi Time
Plenary

Close of day one

show more add to my calendar

DJ Vince La Sol and Kelebohile Mganga, Afro-Tech and Amapiano House set with live vocals

Moderators:
Bob Alexander aka Bob the Bare Foot, content creator
Mariama Nouhou,
WFP, Program Policy Officer, Climate Change

17:30 - 17:45
Nairobi Time
Plenary

Key anticipatory action takeaways from the Southern Africa-Indian Ocean Disaster Preparedness ECHO and Partners Workshop

show more add to my calendar
Speakers:
Sylvie Montembault - Regional Disaster Risk Reduction Coordinator (ECHO) 
Jurg Wilbrink – Regional Anticipatory Action and Disaster Risk Reduction Advisor (IFRC) 
17:45 - 20:30
Nairobi Time

West Africa/Sahel: Defining ambitions: synthesis and analysis

show more add to my calendar

Regional discussions will establish joint ambitions at the regional level - which will be absorbed into shared African ambitions.

The four regional hubs will collate their discussions so far, and prepare to present them back to the plenary on Wednesday.

Facilitators:
Luca Parodi
, FAO, Early Warning – Early Action Regional Specialist
Dr. Guigma Kiswendsida, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, FbF Technical Advisor

09:00 - 10:30
Nairobi Time

Northern Africa - Defining ambitions: face to face and online

show more add to my calendar

Regional discussions will establish joint ambitions at the regional level - which will be absorbed into shared African ambitions.

Facilitator: Omar Farook, World Food Programme, Specialist, Early Action and Climate Services


Southern Africa - Defining ambitions: face to face and online

show more add to my calendar

Regional discussions will establish joint ambitions at the regional level - which will be absorbed into shared African ambitions.

Facilitator: Anna Lena Huhn, World Food Programme, Regional Anticipatory Action (AA) Advisor - Resilience Unit

In person only: East Africa - Defining ambitions: face to face and online

show more add to my calendar

Regional discussions will establish joint ambitions at the regional level - which will be absorbed into shared African ambitions.

Facilitators:
Irene Amuron, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, Manager Anticipatory Action
Maurine Ambani, WFP, Regional Forecast based Financing Coordinator

10:15 - 10:30
Nairobi Time
10:30 - 12:00
Nairobi Time
Plenary

Northern Africa - Defining ambitions: synthesis and analysis

show more add to my calendar

The four regional hubs will collate their discussions so far, and prepare to present them back to the plenary after lunch.

Facilitator: Omar Farook, World Food Programme, Specialist, Early Action and Climate Services


Southern Africa - Defining ambitions: synthesis and analysis

show more add to my calendar

The four regional hubs will collate their discussions so far, and prepare to present them back to the plenary after lunch.

Facilitator: Anna Lena Huhn, World Food Programme, Regional Anticipatory Action (AA) Advisor - Resilience Unit

In person only: East Africa - Defining ambitions: synthesis and analysis East Africa

show more add to my calendar

The four regional hubs will collate their discussions so far, and prepare to present them back to the plenary after lunch.

Facilitators:
Irene Amuron, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, Manager Anticipatory Action
Maurine Ambani, WFP, Regional Forecast based Financing Coordinator

12:00 - 13:00
Nairobi Time
13:00 - 13:10
Nairobi Time
Plenary

Opening - day 2

show more add to my calendar

A recap from day 1 and an overview of what is coming up.

Song summary - Bob the Bare Foot supports the audience to add one verse to the ADP 2022 theme song based on the day one Recap

Cartoon Challenge: Bethuel Mangena from the RCRC Climate Centre introduces his three top tips for drawing cartoons, announcing a challenge to post drafts on padlets. Theme: Challenges we are facing around Anticipatory Action going forward

Moderators:
Maurine Ambani, WFP, Regional Forecast based Financing Coordinator
Jemimah Maina, Climate Research Officer, International Centre for Humanitarian Affairs (ICHA), Kenya Red Cross Society
Osborne Sibande, WFP, South Africa
Bettina Koelle, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, Senior Learning Specialist

13:10 - 13:25
Nairobi Time
Plenary

Keynote #2 - Looking ahead: defining the ambitions for anticipatory action in Africa

show more add to my calendar
Speaker:

Antonio Beleza, Deputy Director, Emergency Operations Centre, National Institute for Disaster Management and Risk Reduction (INGD), Mozambique
Elizabeth Vilijoen, Senior Forecaster, South African Weather Services (SAWS), South Africa

13:25 - 14:25
Nairobi Time
Plenary

Insights on progress from the subregions

show more add to my calendar
The regional hubs, guided by the common questions, will present their progress so far.

The moderators will summarize the presentations and field questions from the participants, both online and those in Nairobi.

Speakers:
Regional Representatives

Moderators:
Emma Flaherty
, Risk Informed Early Action Partnership (REAP), Implementation Lead
Maurine Ambani,
WFP, Regional Forecast based Financing Coordinator
14:25 - 14:30
Nairobi Time
Plenary

Introduction to the parallel sessions

14:30 - 15:30
Nairobi Time
Parallel Sessions

State of play: integrating anticipatory action into national legal disaster management frameworks: African REAP case studies

show more add to my calendar
The Risk-informed Early Action Partnership (REAP) is working to take anticipatory/early action to scale at a global, regional, and national level. Key to achieving this is ensuring that risk-informed approaches are country-led and embedded across national systems.  
In 2021 REAP commissioned a set of ten country case studies to examine in detail the factors that contribute to establishing an enabling environment for anticipatory action at the national level. The case studies report examines the national, regional and global legislative frameworks and initiatives, and financing and delivery mechanisms, that act as enablers and potential entry points to take early action to scale within the national context.  

In this multi-country session, REAP will ask Government representatives of three REAP case study countries – Mozambique, Madagascar and Niger – to talk about the current state of play of AA integration into their national legal DM landscapes.

Speakers:
Montserrat Barroso, World Food Programme (WFP) Special Advisor to the REAP Secretariat
Nianja Raonivelo, Head of Reflection and Orientation Service, National Bureau for Disaster Risk Management (BNGRC), Madagascar
Adamou Oumarou, Dispositif national de prévention et gestion des crises alimentaire (DNPGCA), Niger
Epifania Haute, Anticipatory Action Focal Point, Department for the Development of Arid and Semi-Arid Zones, National Institute for Disaster Management (INGD DARIDAS), Mozambique

Learning from trigger performance evaluation approaches

show more add to my calendar
In this session the Red Cross Climate Center (RCCC) and WFP will jointly present three drought trigger mechanisms as well as a system to monitor and evaluate trigger performance.  

The discussion will focus on challenges and lessons learned on how triggers performance can be evaluated and how this can be sustained as integral part of an integrated system. A panel with selected speakers form IRI (TBD), ICPAC (TBD), WFP RAM, RCCC will initially be presenting and discussing this topic by presenting three case studies form Ethiopia, Somalia and Zimbabwe (in these countries in 2021 and 2022 AA were implemented following a trigger, and all three examples used a different trigger mechanism).

The sessions will engage participants in discussing key considerations for actionable trigger mechanisms. It will explore questions such as: How can we engage in development of common triggers across organisations? What have we learnt from the three trigger mechanisms? What improvements need to be done based on experience and trigger evaluation? How can we make trigger evaluation integral part of the system?

Speakers:
Abiy Wongderes, WFP, Vulnerability Analysis and Mapping Officer
Mecthilde Pinto,
University of Namibia, Project Researcher/Manager for Namibia on a Consortium: Academic Alliance on Anticipatory Action (4As).
Dr. Guigma Kiswendsida
, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, FbF Technical Advisor
Dorothy Heinrich, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, Technical Advisor
Maurine Ambani, WFP, Regional Forecast based Financing Coordinator

Making a case for anticipatory humanitarian action in Africa for small- to medium-scale crises / Finding the right windows of opportunity in anticipatory action

show more add to my calendar
Anticipatory humanitarian action has potential to saves more lives than traditional humanitarian response. Even when provided with the resources, actors still default to response. We are missing the window of opportunities to intervene to save more lives before crises hits. What can we do to enable more anticipation?

This session aims to deepen our understanding and unpack key questions: What are the pitfalls of inaction until a risk turns into a crisis? What are the challenges faced? what could be done to increase anticipatory action? Moving forward, how do we learn how to anticipate the right window of opportunities and to provide the right assistance at the right time?

Speakers:
Susan Njambi-Szlapka, Research and Learning Advisor at the Crisis Anticipation and Risk Financing Team at Start Network
Nelly Maonde, Start Funds Regional Advisor East & Southern Disaster Risk Financing Coordination

Anticipatory action to tackle drought-induced crises: Acting on lessons from the 2021/2022 drought in East Africa

show more add to my calendar
The guiding principle of anticipatory action is that by predicting where hazards will hit and deploying resources when the impacts of the hazard on people and their assets can still be mitigated, humanitarian action would not just be faster, but it would be smarter, more cost-effective, and preserve the dignity of affected and at-risk communities. However, despite global commitments to adopt an anticipatory approach by many humanitarian agencies and donor organizations, the actual implementation of this approach at scale has still been a major challenge.

In this session, FAO and the Jameel Observatory for Food Security Early Action will facilitate a stakeholder dialogue on experiences from the ongoing drought in Ethiopia, Kenya, and Somalia.

Based on the current state of anticipatory actions, the session will discuss why accurately predicted humanitarian impacts of the current drought failed to translate into anticipatory action, including early release of funding, to prevent or mitigate the worst impacts of drought on lives and livelihoods. The session’s panelists will also identify, from their experiences, key blockers and enablers of anticipatory action, as well as suggested recommendations for improving the implementation of anticipatory action during future droughts.

Speakers:
Kim Kristensen, Conflict Sensitive Programming Specialist (Anticipatory Action), FAO
Dr. Guyo Roba, Head, Jameel Observatory
Viola Otieno, Earth Observation (EO) Expert at IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC)
Brenda Lazarus, Food Security and Early Warning Economist, FAO
Nancy Balfour, Senior Consultant and Managing Trustee, Centre for Humanitarian Change
Perrine Piton, Chief of Party, Building Resilient Communities in Somalia (BRCiS)
Nelson Mutanda, Ag. Deputy Director Drought Information, National Drought Management Authority (NDMA)

Fresh from the field- Anticipatory Action for rapid onset hazards (Floods & Cyclone) in Mozambique and Madagascar

show more add to my calendar
Madagascar and Mozambique are the countries with highest cyclone risks in Africa, with an average of three to four cyclones affecting the countries every year. In the 2022 cyclone season, cyclone Ana, Gombe, Batsarai were notable in terms of damage, impacts, and humanitarian imperative arising from the natural hazards.
In Mozambique, in anticipation of possible floods and associated impacts, Mozambique Red Cross (CVM) implemented flood early actions ex-ante and supported vulnerable families with early actions. The anticipatory actions included dissemination of flood early warnings; distribution of emergency supplies, such as mosquito nets, mugs, buckets, tablets for water purification, and vacuum plastic bags to protect personal documents; and mobilization of staff and volunteers from the national headquarters and Zambezia delegation.
In Madagascar, with technical support from academia and government ministries, financial support from the Start Fund and, above all, institutional support, Start Network member organizations in Madagascar were able to experiment with the cyclone anticipation mechanism. The cyclone anticipation mechanism was used for the first time during the last cyclone season which started in November 2021 and ended last month.

Much has been learned from this mechanism in terms of technical, institutional and in coordination. Also, successes and lessons have been capitalized. Hopefully, sharing the achievement and the key findings of this mechanism will enrich multilateral exchanges and, above all, improve the vision of anticipation.

Speakers:
Boavida Chambal, Mozambique Red Cross
Jurg Wilbrink, IFRC
Seheno Andrianiaina, Start Network
Emma Cazou, Start Network
Valdemiro Sultane, Mozambique Red Cross (CVM)
Damodar Kanel, German Red Cross


In person only: A call for an integrated approach: the importance of anticipatory actions in gender-based violence prevention, response and risk mitigation in the field

show more add to my calendar

The Regional Gender-Based Violence Working Group (RGBVWG) for East and Southern Africa works on behalf of the Global GBV Area of Responsibility to strengthen the coordination of GBV response and prevention in humanitarian settings across the region. The group brings together NGOs, UN agencies, and key actors working on GBV in humanitarian emergencies including the IFRC who collectively seek to improve the effectiveness of GBV prevention and risk mitigation in the region.

Although Anticipatory Action is a new approach, it is promising for GBV in Emergencies interventions, particularly in response to disaster situations in Africa and it is aligned with the focus of the (RGBVWG)pillar on Preparedness and Risk Mitigation. It is an emerging concept that will not only strengthen the coordination but equally enhance preparedness to GBV in emergencies. Ethiopia, Somalia, and Malawi are some of the few countries in the region where GBV-specific Anticipatory Action projects have been developed and/or implemented.

A key recommendation from a GBV and Anticipatory Action webinar organized by the RGBVWG in December 2021 is the urgent need to strengthen the integration of GBV prevention, risk mitigation, and preparedness in Anticipatory Action work in the field.

The IFRC is also part of the Protection, Gender, and Inclusion (PGI) in Anticipatory Action Working Group that aims to facilitate technical exchange, good practices, lessons learned, and solutions for the integration of PGI in Anticipatory Action. Protection, Gender, and Inclusion in Anticipatory Action - Anticipation Hub (anticipation-hub.org). The need to strengthen GBV prevention, risk mitigation, and preparedness in Anticipatory Action have been emphasized.

It is against this backdrop that the RGBVWG for East and Southern Africa in collaboration with IFRC and the Canadian Food Grains Bank plan to organize a session at the upcoming 5th Africa Dialogue Platform on Anticipatory Humanitarian Action to influence the integration of GBV in the Anticipatory Action Road Map for Africa.

Speakers:

Christine Apio, Regional Emergencies GBV Specialist (Prevention/ Inclusion/ Preparedness), GBV AoR East and Southern Africa Region
Everlyn Milanoi Koiyiet, Senior Protection Gender and Inclusion officer, IFRC- Africa
David Mbuvi (Virtual), HERD Gender and Protection Coordinator, Canadian Foodgrains Bank
Karen Williams, GBV Programme Analyst, UNFPA Ethiopia
Beatrice Kumwenda, Gender & GBV Programme Specialist, UNFPA Malawi
Oswald Chichugi (Virtual), Regional Emergencies GBV Coordination Specialist, GBV AoR West and Central Africa Region

In person only: Impact-Based Forecasting Co-Production Supporting Communities and Examples from Across the Region

show more add to my calendar
The Climate crisis has focused the attention of the world to the urgent need for improved weather and climate information services to be available for people to make life saving decisions. There have been many high impact weather events over recent decades impacting Southern Africa, lessons from these events highlight the need for greater collaboration between responsible agencies to better support the communities they serve. The World Meteorological Organisation has published guidance on early warning systems for adoption by National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs), based on lessons and highlighting good practice. This session will present a case study of Impact-Based Forecasting (IBF) implementation.
The Ethiopian model for ravine flood system focuses on Moving from broadcasting what the weather will be to what the weather will do entails synthesizing weather information (such as weather forecasts) with quasi-static information on exposure and vulnerability profiles (such as geodemographic and essential facility maps) to identify the range of risks faced over an area. It is critical that the exposure and vulnerability profiles are up to date, as this directly influences the insights gained from the impact-based forecasting process.
  1. Produce an impact-based forecast by combining vulnerability and exposure data with forecast information - and send an automatic message to the Technical Working Group when the set triggers are reached to roll-out early actions.
  2. A coordination mechanism for engagement of relevant actors by knowing who is where and what they have.

Speakers:
Fionne Marshall – Senior International Development Manager, UK Met Office
Tim Donovan – Senior International Meteorologist, UK Met Office
John Mungai – WISER Regional Coordinator, UK Met Office
Abraham Tesfaye – IARP Coordinator Ethiopian Red Cross
Sirak Abebe Temesgen - Netherland Red Cross
Aderajew Admasu Ferede - Climate advisor for Ethiopian program, climate center Aderajew Admassu

In person only: Anchoring Anticipatory Action at the Community Level – Case Studies from Malawi and Southern Africa

show more add to my calendar
Malawi Red Cross Society (MRCS)
As part of our ongoing Forecast-based Action project in four riverine flood-prone districts in Southern Malawi, MRCS together with Red Cross partners is digitalising targeted communities’ own contingency plans and equipping the community-based disaster responders with mobile phones to conduct real-time two-way disaster communication through a bespoke ODK Collect app. This links local actors’ own disaster preparedness measures with national level operating protocols, where anticipatory actions and early actions are validated at every level from local, area and district to national and governmental, and the centralised information is readily shared through a designated KoBo repository for better coordinated responses.
The novel approach of the electronic Contingency Plans (e-CPs) enables central actors to transmit impact-based forecasting directly to the communities to immediately initiate the community-based responses detailed in their own contingency plans, spread the early warnings at community level and conduct the early actions aimed at mitigating the pending impact as soon as trigger thresholds have been met.

Local Leadership for Global Impact (LLGI)
A case study will be presented on realising a shift towards more anticipatory action at the local level, with examples from the 2021-22 cyclone season. Emphasis is placed on enabling communities to utilise their available capacities for anticipatory action, as opposed to relying on external actors conducting anticipatory action interventions on their behalf. This session will explore approaches which facilitate increased local level awareness and engagement, and localised determination of forecasting systems and early actions in conjunction with financing through the distribution of community microgrants (group cash transfers). Learning will be shared on civil society actors’ role in facilitating the engagement of local structures in forecast-based action planning with an aim of integrating this approach into district level contingency planning. The realisation of policies to support the scale out of anticipatory action for different hazardous events will also be highlighted.

Speakers:
Chance Muwama, Forecast-based Action Analyst, Malawi Red Cross Society (MRCS)
Martha Kilowe, Churches Action in Relief and Development (CARD) Malawi
15:30 - 15:45
Nairobi Time
15:45 - 16:45
Nairobi Time
Parallel Sessions

The next generation early warning systems with reference to current practices in several African countries

show more add to my calendar
Hazard forecasting and warnings are crucial elements for understanding and managing systemic, cascading, and compounding risk. Significant advances in the technology of observation and data management have created enormous opportunities. New risk analysis techniques that can handle the interplay between hazard, vulnerability and exposure and their dynamic nature are being developed. At the same time, governments and corporations are embracing open data policies which is significantly increasing the amount of data available. However, such data and advanced research techniques are often not incorporated in the operational services domain.
Along with building local capacity, improvements in interoperability, veracity, and accessibility of data are a necessary first step to exploit the wealth of data now available. The next generation of forecasting and warning systems should be people centred, collaborative, co-designed and co-produced, and should harness the latest advances in science, technology, engineering, and data management solutions.

This session gives an overview of the exciting potential of next generation early warning systems with reference to current practices in several African countries, and details recent initiatives which aim to reduce the Digital Africa Infrastructure gap and Extreme weather or Extreme Climate services using Global Open Science Cloud Infrastructure based on case studies of flooding and drought in the Nile River Basin.

Speakers:
Dr. Bapon Fakhruddin, DRR and climate resilience Specialist, CODATA
Jill Bolland, Principal Natural Hazard and Climate Risk Consultant, Tonkin + Taylor
Linda Farrelly, Riskalert, Ireland

Unravelling the compounding impacts of climate change and conflict to inform future anticipatory action planning

show more add to my calendar
Many of the world’s disasters are predictable, and the science used to forecast them is increasingly reliable. Through the effective use of forecasts, risk analysis and early-warning information, it is now possible to put in place the actions and financing required to act before a disaster hits. To do this it is essential to understand the complex and compounding impacts of multiple climate and conflict related hazards impacting the same area. However, currently risk assessments focus on single hazards, while there is growing attention for the compounding and cascading nature of risks. If we want to understand and anticipate humanitarian needs better, we need to address these dynamics. Improving compound risk analysis is one of the objectives of the Anticipation Hub Working Group on Anticipatory Action in Conflict Settings. This session aims to start a discussion around opportunities for integration of compound risk in anticipatory action, by sharing examples of recent compound risk analyses and discussion among participants to scope potential entry points.

-    Kim Kristensen, FAO, on behalf of the Anticipation Hub Working Group on Anticipatory Action in Conflict Settings
-    Eddie Jjemba, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, Urban Resilience Advisor
-    Shaban Mawanda, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, Policy and Resilience Advisor
-    Alessia Matano, VU University
-    Erin Coughlan de Perez, Senior Adviser Climate Centre


Mapping of risk zones for forecast-based financing: Mapathon sessions

show more add to my calendar
As part of responding to the innovation and performance indicators of FbF, the Mali Red Cross (CRM), with the technical and financial support of its partners including the Danish Red Cross, implements activities to collect data from at-risk areas to operationalize the “Forecast-based Financing (FbF)” mechanism in Mali. These Mapathon sessions take place every other week during the weekends at Mali Red Cross’ national headquarters by volunteers trained for this purpose.

OpenStreetMap (OSM) data as well as other open data is used in the FbF concept based on Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and mapping using free software and web resources. This includes using open-source tools to identify and map vulnerable communities located on the banks of the country's two rivers.

Session in French with translation to English and Portuguese.

Speakers:
Souleymane Konate, Coordinateur National FbF, Croix-Rouge Malienne
Paul Anywayo, Kenya Red Cross Society

African governments leading the way: from minimum to advanced linkages between social protection systems to AA

show more add to my calendar
Social protection (SP) systems can be considered as large risk management tools which can protect people from disaster impacts, with the potential to scale up beyond the capacity of humanitarian caseloads. By linking national early warning systems to existing SP systems to roll out a range of early actions, it is possible to provide faster, more sustainable, predictable, coordinated, and cost-effective assistance. However, the AA community still lacks robust, operational evidence, to support the role we believe that SP can play in addressing the risks faced by climate vulnerable populations. Supporting the gradual expansion of the evidence base, as well as keeping the dialogue on the SP-AA link inclusive and honest, will be vital for governments and operational partners, to advocate for change.
We present case studies from across the African continent and illustrate the variety of approaches to linking AA with SP. We will take you from Somalia to Mozambique and Lesotho and learn about how these governments are progressively committing to embedding AA into national systems.

Emerging themes and hidden issues: what are we not talking about?
  • to understand the perspectives and experiences of African governments in embedding AA into social protection systems
  • to inspire participants with the current effort to link with  government social protection systems via three African country case studies
  • to draw on these experiences and use them to contribute to the Africa roadmap for AA

Speakers:
Sebongile Hlubi, Anticipatory Action Coordinator, Lesotho Red Cross Society (LRCS), Lesotho
Tiiso Motabola, Cash and Readiness Officer, LRCS, Lesotho
Serene Philip, Social Protection Specialist, WFP Country Office, Somalia
Epifania Huate, National Institute for Disaster Risk Management & Reduction (INGD), Mozambique
Thabo Pitso, Anticipatory Action Focal Point,  Early Warning Unit, Disaster Management Authority, Lesotho
Emma Flaherty, Thematic Lead for Implementation - Risk-informed Early Action Partnership (REAP)
Armando Manhica, National Institute for Social Action, Mozambique


In person only: Community-led early warning and anticipatory action in Somalia

show more add to my calendar
Community networks are critical conduits of early warning information. They are also key in facilitating individual and joint actions in anticipation of – and in response to – shocks. The shocks people experience, information they have about what will happen beforehand, and the strategies they use to mitigate these shocks, vary hugely over time locations. This makes it harder to design and deliver support for people’s anticipatory actions at scale. To ensure that assistance can be relevant and timely in supporting community-led anticipatory action, it is critical that aid actors understand the experiences and priorities of communities.
The session builds on learning about anticipatory action in Somalia / Somaliland from an ongoing SPARC study that highlight experiences and expertise in anticipatory action from those affected by hazards and disasters, and from BRCiS’ resilience building work over almost a decade. The latter has included real-time risk monitoring, early warning, anticipatory and response interventions, and crisis modifiers to address large scale shocks; all of which are carried out through community engagement and participation.
Focusing on these experiences from Somalia / Somaliland, the session will discuss evidence on major outstanding programme and policy questions in anticipatory action that put communities at the centre:
  1. What are people already doing to avoid and mitigate problems as shocks approach and as crises develop?
  2. How and when in the course of a crisis' trajectory can external assistance best strengthen these existing local capacities and strategies?
  3. What are the opportunities and challenges for humanitarian and development programming in assisting community-led anticipatory actions?
Complemented by expertise from Somaliland’s Ministry of Environment and Climate Change, the session will also explore impacts of climate change on communities in Somaliland, and how government and non-government organisations are supporting people in anticipating and preparing for climate shocks in a context where temperatures, the number of very hot days per year, and variability in rainfall between years are projected to increase.

Speakers:
Perrine Piton, BRCiS Chief of Party
Lena Weingärtner, Research Associate, SPARC & ODI
Abdulkadir Ibrahim, Resilience Project Coordinator, Concern / BRCiS
Muzzamil Abdi Sheikh, Research Consultant, SPARC Programme
Simon Levine, Senior Research Fellow, ODI

In person only: Integrating indigenous knowledge into forecast information

show more add to my calendar
Though new to climate science indigenous knowledge has long been utilized as a predictive tool for climate behavior. By analysis the collective behavior of the land, sky, seas, animals’ traditional forecasters have been and continue to give communities reliable information. In many parts of Africa, indigenous knowledge is more accepted as the most reliable form of forecast information in comparison to climate science. This is why the convergence and integration between climate science and this traditional and indigenous knowledge is a critical part of enhancing the uptake of climate information services. 

The proposed session will help participants share their experiences in integrating indigenous knowledge to climate science. It will involve sharing knowledge products, success stories, case studies and challenges encountered in this integration. The session will be co-hosted by National societies implementing the Innovative Approaches to Response Preparedness (IARP) project. The project is being implemented in Ethiopia, Kenya and Uganda national societies supported by the Netherlands Red Cross for a period of five years (2018 to 2022). These innovative approaches include three project pillars Forecast based Financing, Cash Transfer Programing and Data Preparedness within the context of disaster preparedness, to be technically supported by the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, British Red Cross and 510 respectively. IARP project aims at helping communities fight the impact of climate change and be better prepared for disasters, using innovative approaches being piloted.

Speakers:
Oscar Lino- Kenya Red Cross Society, Climate Officer

In person only: Hard talk: honest conversations about what is not going right with anticipatory action - and what can we do about it?

show more add to my calendar
Today we can predict with increasing accuracy the occurrence and impacts of many extreme weather events. This increase in the accessibility and accuracy of early warning information has led to many organizations taking up anticipatory action as a legitimate way to reduce the impacts of disasters. It has also been demonstrated that preparedness and anticipatory action cost less than traditional response interventions and have the ability to mitigate the impacts of disasters on lives and livelihoods. There is however, a knowledge gap in the timely application of anticipatory action. While acknowledging its vast benefits, it is important to speak about the challenges and misfires that are part of anticipatory work. These challenges could include:
  • Where forecasted events do not occur
  • Where early actions are not appropriate
  • Where trigger levels are to high to activate anticipatory funds
This session will draw on what is happening in East Africa with the missed opportunities on anticipatory action for drought
The session will be cohosted by National societies implementing the Innovative Approaches to Response Preparedness (IARP) project. The project is being implemented in Ethiopia, Kenya and Uganda national societies supported by the Netherlands Red Cross for a period of five years (2018 to 2022). These innovative approaches include three project pillars Forecast based Financing, Cash Transfer Programing and Data Preparedness within the context of disaster preparedness, to be technically supported by the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, British Red Cross and 510 respectively. IARP project aims at helping communities fight the impact of climate change and be better prepared for disasters, using innovative approaches being piloted.


Speakers:
Sarah Nduku- Policy and advocacy Manager, KRCS

16:45 - 17:00
Nairobi Time
Plenary

Close of day two

show more add to my calendar

DJ Vince La Sol and Kelebohile Mganga, Afro-Tech and Amapiano House set with live vocals

Moderators:
Bob Alexander aka Bob the Bare Foot, content creator
Eduardo Castro, Technical AA Focal Point, National Disaster Management Authority (INGD)

17:00 - 17:30
Nairobi Time

In Person Tour of the IGAD situation room

17:45 - 20:30
Nairobi Time

West Africa/Sahel: Reflections on the Joint Anticipatory Action Roadmap

show more add to my calendar

Regional discussion to  contribute to the Draft-zero AA Roadmap. Agree on regional  priorities to focus on 2022 and on way wards/key steps to get there.

Leading questions:

  • What are the activities needed to achieve regional goals set out on day 2? (From both regional and African-wide perspective)
  • What is required to get us there?
  • What are strategies for cooperation between sectors: communities, governments, science and universities and humanitarians in the region?
  • What could be regional commitments  to operationalize the roadmap?  to formulate partnerships - also linked to identified coordination platformed discussed in  Day 1, to identify collaborative areas of work, to endorse the roadmap at national and regional levels, and commitments to provide different forms of support (e.g. financial, strategic, academic)
  • What is the regional contribution to the pan-Africa roadmap?

Facilitators:
Luca Parodi, FAO, Early Warning – Early Action Regional Specialist
Dr. Guigma Kiswendsida
, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, FbF Technical Advisor

09:00 - 10:15
Nairobi Time

Reflections on the draft roadmap Northern Africa

show more add to my calendar
Regional discussion to  contribute to the Draft-zero AA Roadmap. Agree on regional  priorities to focus on 2022 and on way wards/key steps to get there.
Leading questions:
  • What are the activities needed to achieve regional goals set out on day 2? (From both regional and African-wide perspective)
  • What is required to get us there?
  • What are strategies for cooperation between sectors: communities, governments, science and universities and humanitarians in the region?
  • What could be regional commitments  to operationalize the roadmap?  to formulate partnerships - also linked to identified coordination platformed discussed in  Day 1, to identify collaborative areas of work, to endorse the roadmap at national and regional levels, and commitments to provide different forms of support (e.g. financial, strategic, academic)
  • What is the regional contribution to the pan-Africa roadmap?

Facilitator:
Omar Farook, World Food Programme, Specialist, Early Action and Climate Services

Reflections on the draft roadmap Southern Africa

show more add to my calendar
Regional discussion to  contribute to the Draft-zero AA Roadmap. Agree on regional  priorities to focus on 2022 and on way wards/key steps to get there.
Leading questions:
  • What are the activities needed to achieve regional goals set out on day 2? (From both regional and African-wide perspective)
  • What is required to get us there?
  • What are strategies for cooperation between sectors: communities, governments, science and universities and humanitarians in the region?
  • What could be regional commitments  to operationalize the roadmap?  to formulate partnerships - also linked to identified coordination platformed discussed in  Day 1, to identify collaborative areas of work, to endorse the roadmap at national and regional levels, and commitments to provide different forms of support (e.g. financial, strategic, academic)
  • What is the regional contribution to the pan-Africa roadmap?
Facilitator:
Anna Lena Huhn
, World Food Programme, Regional Anticipatory Action (AA) Advisor - Resilience Unit

In person only: Reflections on the draft roadmap East Africa

show more add to my calendar
Regional discussion to  contribute to the Draft-zero AA Roadmap. Agree on regional  priorities to focus on 2022 and on way wards/key steps to get there.
Leading questions:
  • What are the activities needed to achieve regional goals set out on day 2? (From both regional and African-wide perspective)
  • What is required to get us there?
  • What are strategies for cooperation between sectors: communities, governments, science and universities and humanitarians in the region?
  • What could be regional commitments  to operationalize the roadmap?  to formulate partnerships - also linked to identified coordination platformed discussed in  Day 1, to identify collaborative areas of work, to endorse the roadmap at national and regional levels, and commitments to provide different forms of support (e.g. financial, strategic, academic)
  • What is the regional contribution to the pan-Africa roadmap?
Facilitators:
Irene Amuron, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, Manager Anticipatory Action
Maurine Ambani, WFP, Regional Forecast based Financing Coordinator
10:15 - 10:30
Nairobi Time
10:30 - 12:00
Nairobi Time

Reflections on the draft roadmap (continued) Nothern Africa

show more add to my calendar

Regional discussion to  contribute to the Draft-zero AA Roadmap. Agree on regional  priorities to focus on 2022 and on way wards/key steps to get there.

Facilitator: Omar Farook, World Food Programme, Specialist, Early Action and Climate Services

Reflections on the draft roadmap (continued) Southern Africa

show more add to my calendar

Regional discussion to  contribute to the Draft-zero AA Roadmap. Agree on regional  priorities to focus on 2022 and on way wards/key steps to get there.

Facilitator: Anna Lena Huhn, World Food Programme, Regional Anticipatory Action (AA) Advisor - Resilience Unit

In person only: Reflections on the draft roadmap (continued) East Africa

show more add to my calendar

Regional discussion to  contribute to the Draft-zero AA Roadmap. Agree on regional  priorities to focus on 2022 and on way wards/key steps to get there.

Facilitators:
Irene Amuron, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, Manager Anticipatory Action
Maurine Ambani, WFP, Regional Forecast based Financing Coordinator

12:00 - 13:00
Nairobi Time
13:00 - 13:15
Nairobi Time
Plenary

Opening - day 3

show more add to my calendar

A recap from the previous days and a look ahead to the final day.

Song summary - Bob the Bare Foot supports the audience to add one verse to the ADP 2022 theme song based on the recap main points & all join in on the chorus.

Cartoon Challenge: Bethuel Mangena from the RCRC Climate Centre, will present the Cartoons  from the challenge.

Moderator:
Bettina Koelle, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, Senior Learning Specialist

13:15 - 13:30
Nairobi Time
Plenary

Keynote #3: Looking ahead - what will it take to get us there?

show more add to my calendar

This key note will seek to paint a picture of the impacts of the ongoing food insecurity in Africa. It will further highlight the need for anticipatory action for the region especially in supporting communities to anticipate, prepare and respond to the various climatic events ongoing and the clear actions that need to be taken to get us to the ambitions we want.

Jean Pierre Senghor, Executive Secretary - National Council of Food Security in Senegal

13:30 - 14:15
Nairobi Time

Raise your concerns

show more add to my calendar
This session will facilitate honest conversations on where we are failing and need to improve to enable AA at scale and practically support the mainstreaming of AA into DRM systems.

Speakers
Dr. Guigma Kiswensda, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, FbF Technical Advisor
Halima Saado, Ag.Vice-Chancellor/Deputy Vice-Chancellor Planning, Administration & Finance - UMMA University
Maurine Ambani, WFP, Regional Forecast based Financing Coordinator

Moderators: 
Sergio Innocente, FAO, Regional EarlyWarning-EarlyAction, Preparedness and Response Advisor
Bettina Koelle, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, Senior Learning Specialist
14:15 - 15:15
Nairobi Time
Plenary

Panel discussion #3: Africa taking action - our plans and commitments

show more add to my calendar

This session will present the draft roadmap that has been developed and will form the basis for discussion on what is required to achieve the Roadmap. Reflections will be shared from community, academia, Red Cross  and government stakeholders’ perspectives. The audience will also be engaged to share feedback on strategy to achieve the roadmap.

Speakers:
Prof. Luis Artur, Eduardo Mondlane University, 4A Consortium
Bernard Kabi, Youth Voice - Youth Chairman, Nairobi branch, Kenya Red Cross Soceity
Gatkuoth Kai, Technical Coordinator, Disaster Risk Reduction - African Union
Morena Bassam, ICRC,  Regional Nutritionist

Moderator:
Shaban Mawanda, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, Policy and Resilience Advisor
15:15 - 15:30
Nairobi Time
15:30 - 16:30
Nairobi Time
Plenary

Closing ceremony

show more add to my calendar
We shall reflect and recap on the highlights of the 5th Africa Dialogue Platform,  including  progress on the development of the Joint Africa Anticipatory Action Roadmap. The session will also highlight the commitments from various partners towards achieving the Roadmap.
- Presentation of Joint Africa Anticipatory Action Roadmap

Closing remarks
  • Mohammed Babiker, Head of IFRC Nairobi Cluster
  • Anna Farina, Crisis Anticipation and Disaster Risk Finance Operations Lead, Start Network
  • Ahmed Amdihun, Regional Programme Coordinator, Disaster Risk Management IGAD
  • Dr Nikolas Scherer, Manager for Policy and Advocacy on Anticipation and Disaster Risk Financing Anticipation Hub
  • Cyril Ferrand, FAO,  Resilience Team Leader for Eastern Africa (virtual)
  • Sibi Lawson-Marriott, WFP, Regional Adviser for Climate, Resilience, Gender Equality

Moderators:
Bob Alexander aka Bob the Bare Foot, content creator
Eddie Jjemba, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, Urban Resilience Advisor
Irene Amuron, Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre, Manager Anticipatory Action

16:30 - 16:45
Nairobi Time
On location

Entertainment

show more add to my calendar
Entertainment with Bob the Bare Foot
14:00 - 15:30
Nairobi Time

Future Leaders Network: Connecting and empowering the Early Warning Early Action leaders of tomorrow

show more add to my calendar
At the Global Platform on Disaster Risk Reduction in May 2022, the Anticipation Hub launched its Future Leaders Network on Early Warning Early Action. The objectives of the network are to connect, inspire and empower future leaders across practice, science and policy, to work collaboratively on promoting the use of climate information at all time scales and early warnings that enable effective early/anticipatory action on the ground.

During this session happening after the African Dialogue Platform, the co-chairs of the network will share information about the network and its objectives and engage in a discussion with the participants on the needs and priorities for the network for future leaders in Africa. Early Warning Early Action efforts are increasing on a global scale and in particular in Africa. Therefore, it is important to engage early-career professionals from Africa and working in Africa to ensure that EWEA activities reach their full potential and become sustainable by breaking down silos and linking practice, science and policy. The session will be one of the first activities of the network after its launch and will therefore be an important step in the evolution of the network and at the same time a good opportunity for the participants to actively engage in the network and help shape it.
scroll to top